India’s relationship with the United States is under strain, and recent events show that the partnership may not be as strong as it seems. Recently, the US imposed 50 per cent tariffs on Indian goods, a move widely seen as an attempt to force India into a favourable trade deal. During ongoing negotiations, the US publicly criticised India while maintaining high tariffs, creating tension. This strategy, described by experts as “saam-daam-danda-bheda,” was meant to pressure India into concessions. However, India has resisted these pressures, showing that it will not easily yield to US demands.
The sudden announcement of a $100,000 fee for H-1B visas is another example of US actions affecting India. The fee makes it nearly impossible for many companies to hire Indian workers in the US. Critics say this is a deliberate tactic to maintain leverage over India until a better deal is agreed upon. Despite diplomatic discussions, such measures have created mistrust. Many observers believe that the US has damaged goodwill in the relationship. India, they argue, cannot trust future US gestures of friendship without scrutiny.
Historically, India has faced betrayals in international relations, including from Western countries. During the 1971 war, the US openly supported Pakistan, showing that strategic partnerships can be fragile. Today, similar concerns exist. Analysts warn that the US may support Pakistan covertly, arm it, or impose additional trade restrictions that could harm India. The past and present examples suggest that India must prepare for difficult scenarios and protect its interests proactively.
India’s growing economy and global standing are often highlighted as strengths, but there are internal weaknesses that need attention. Bureaucratic delays and inefficiency continue to affect businesses and investment. For example, simple administrative processes, such as cashing life insurance or obtaining permits, take months in India, while they take just days in countries like the US. While reforms have improved processes slightly, India’s ease of doing business remains more of a slogan than a reality.
Healthcare and education are other areas that need urgent improvement. Despite India’s progress in technology and industry, these basic services often remain underdeveloped. Innovation and entrepreneurship are growing, but not yet at a global standard. India’s startup ecosystem is still emerging, and professionals must enhance their skills to compete internationally. Corruption and inefficient governance continue to hinder progress. These internal challenges make India vulnerable to external pressures, including trade and diplomatic pressures from other nations.
Despite these obstacles, India has opportunities to strengthen itself. The country can focus on improving administrative efficiency, healthcare, education, and technology development. By addressing these weaknesses, India can reduce dependency on foreign powers and increase self-reliance. Strong institutions and robust policies can protect India against unfair international practices, ensuring it negotiates from a position of strength.
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Experts argue that India cannot remain complacent, even as the fastest-growing large economy in the world. It must accept that it has few reliable allies and that global politics often prioritise self-interest over partnership. Strategic planning, internal reforms, and vigilance are necessary to navigate these challenges. The current situation with the US highlights the risks of over-reliance on any single partner, no matter how friendly the relationship may appear.
In conclusion, India faces both external and internal pressures that require careful management. Externally, it must be ready for trade disputes, visa restrictions, and potential interference from countries like the US. Internally, India needs to strengthen governance, innovation, education, and healthcare. By addressing both, India can ensure sustainable growth and security. Complacency is not an option; proactive measures are essential to safeguard India’s interests in a complex global environment.
India is at a crucial stage in its growth and international standing. It must take lessons from history and current events to build resilience. Improving domestic systems, fostering innovation, and creating stronger institutions will allow India to face external pressures more effectively. Leaders and citizens alike need to remain vigilant, recognising that even friendly nations may act in ways that challenge India’s interests. By preparing for the worst and strengthening internal systems, India can secure its future, maintain independence in decision-making, and continue its rise as a global power.
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