News Headlines, English News, Today Headlines, Top Stories | Arth Parkash
Trump and India’s resilience through history Donald Trump may not understand India’s resilience, but history does
Monday, 11 Aug 2025 00:00 am
News Headlines, English News, Today Headlines, Top Stories | Arth Parkash

News Headlines, English News, Today Headlines, Top Stories | Arth Parkash

India is once again facing a tough moment in its economic journey. This time, the challenge comes from the United States, where President Donald Trump has announced steep tariffs of up to 50% on Indian exports. The move has caused ripples in trade relations and shaken parts of the economy. But if India’s past is any guide, this will not be the beginning of a fall — it will be the spark for the next leap forward.

For more than 30 years, India’s growth has come the hard way. Every percentage point of GDP has been earned with effort, reform, and persistence. And time after time, pressure from outside has only made the country stronger. The British Raj taught India how to resist exploitation, and more recent crises — in 1991 and 2008 — taught it how to turn setbacks into opportunities.

Lessons from 1991 and 2008: Crisis, reform, growth

In 1991, India’s economy was on the edge of collapse. Foreign reserves could cover only a few weeks of imports. Inflation was rising fast. In desperation, the government pledged 67 tonnes of gold to avoid defaulting on payments.

But instead of simply cutting spending and retreating, India launched major reforms. The government opened the economy to global trade, dismantled the “Licence Raj” system that strangled business, privatised inefficient state-run companies, and welcomed foreign investment. What began as a rescue operation turned into a long-term transformation — laying the foundation for decades of growth.

In 2008, the world was shaken by the global financial crisis. Many economies fell into recession. India, though hit by falling exports and investment, responded with large stimulus measures, big infrastructure spending, and new trade partnerships. By not depending too much on any single market and keeping domestic demand strong, India avoided the worst damage.

Both moments followed the same pattern: crisis leads to reform, and reform leads to growth.

2025: A tariff shock and a strategic pivot

Now, in 2025, the United States has put India in its tariff “crosshairs.” Trump says the decision comes because trade talks failed and because India continues buying oil from Russia. The move has raised tensions between New Delhi and Washington.

The impact was immediate. Exporters rushed to send shipments before the August 27 deadline. Credit rating agency Moody’s warned the tariffs could slow India’s GDP growth by 0.3 percentage points. The rupee lost value for several days in a row, forcing the Reserve Bank to step in. Defence plans to buy US aircraft and weapons were delayed.

But the response from India has been quick and calculated. The government has begun backroom talks with the US, but it is also using this pressure to push through long-pending reforms. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has made it clear that he will not sacrifice the interests of farmers, dairy producers, and fishermen just to please foreign powers.

India is moving fast to expand its trade with Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and ASEAN nations. This reduces its dependence on the US market. Quietly, India is also signalling that it may be open to lowering some tariffs on American farm products if the US eases its duties on Indian exports.

Why this moment could be another turning point

The pattern is repeating:

Today, India’s position is stronger than in past crises. It has over $650 billion in foreign exchange reserves, a massive and growing infrastructure network, and one of the youngest and most skilled workforces in the world. These strengths make it easier to adapt and take advantage of new opportunities.

Yes, the tariffs will hurt in the short term. Some exporters will face losses. Certain sectors may need government support. But by improving competitiveness, exploring new markets, and using this pressure to reform faster, India can turn this challenge into a chance for bigger growth.

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The bigger picture: resilience is in India’s DNA

History shows that adversity is not a dead end for India — it is often the beginning of the next success story. The country’s journey since independence is full of moments where external pressure or internal crisis became a driver for change.

Trump’s tariffs may have been designed to hurt India’s trade position. But they could end up strengthening India’s long-term role in the global economy. By acting decisively now — reforming policies, securing new trade relationships, and protecting core national interests — India could emerge more competitive, more self-reliant, and more respected.

If the last three decades are any guide, India will not just survive this test — it will rise from it.